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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+1.30vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+2.77vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.08+7.45vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.96vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.09+5.75vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.94-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-0.35vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+2.95vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.71-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.05-2.79vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.43+1.09vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.33-2.25vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy0.74-5.06vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.16-0.08vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-1.80+0.60vs Predicted
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16California State University Channel Islands-2.17+0.30vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.20-7.00vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.75-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3Stanford University3.110.4%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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10.45Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.45University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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10.95University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Southern California1.050.1%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.330.0%1st Place
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7.94California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
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15.6San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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16.3California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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10.0University of California at San Diego0.200.0%1st Place
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12.79Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 38.5% | 27.3% | 15.7% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 9.3% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Owen Lahr | 11.6% | 15.7% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Ryan Milne | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Ben Louttit | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 10.7% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 14.4% | 25.5% | 30.7% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 11.5% | 20.6% | 48.7% |
| John Alexander | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.