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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.99+7.36vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.71+3.34vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.64+3.80vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.84+5.39vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.26+6.09vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+3.88vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.87+1.36vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.56-0.70vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.96-0.33vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.75vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.34-0.06vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.17-4.08vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.77-4.34vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.18-1.89vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.18-2.70vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.07-4.05vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University1.09-5.53vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University1.31-6.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Brown University1.996.3%1st Place
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5.34Yale University2.7114.3%1st Place
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6.8Stanford University2.649.4%1st Place
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9.39Bowdoin College1.844.6%1st Place
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11.09College of Charleston1.263.2%1st Place
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9.88Georgetown University1.864.2%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College1.876.3%1st Place
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7.3Boston College2.568.6%1st Place
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8.67Cornell University1.965.8%1st Place
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9.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.1%1st Place
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10.94Tulane University1.343.9%1st Place
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7.92Harvard University2.177.1%1st Place
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8.66University of Pennsylvania1.776.0%1st Place
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12.11Northeastern University1.182.8%1st Place
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12.3U. S. Naval Academy1.182.1%1st Place
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11.95George Washington University1.073.0%1st Place
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11.47North Carolina State University1.093.5%1st Place
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11.19Roger Williams University1.313.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.3% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Freeman | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 14.1% |
| Ava Farley | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 16.5% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.