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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+1.32vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.05+5.15vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+5.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.20+5.78vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.08+5.18vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.98vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.85-2.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.35vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.94-4.54vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+1.26vs Predicted
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11University of Washington-0.09-0.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.71-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.43-1.22vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.33-4.74vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-1.16-0.89vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.80-0.36vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.17-0.71vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.75-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.32Stanford University3.110.4%1st Place
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7.15University of Southern California1.050.0%1st Place
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8.21California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.0%1st Place
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9.78University of California at San Diego0.200.0%1st Place
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10.18Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
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4.46University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
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11.78University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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9.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.330.0%1st Place
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14.11University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
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15.64San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
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16.29California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
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12.78Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 38.0% | 27.9% | 14.9% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 3.9% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Alexander | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Nathan Gerber | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 12.3% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 5.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 12.8% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Emily Smith | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Milne | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 19.8% | 10.5% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 15.9% | 24.1% | 32.1% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 21.4% | 47.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.