← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.11+1.37vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+2.94vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.05+4.28vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy0.74+4.00vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.38-1.46vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.06vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley0.71+1.17vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.26vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University0.08+1.27vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara-0.14+1.31vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-0.09-0.02vs Predicted
-
12University of California at San Diego0.20-1.81vs Predicted
-
13Arizona State University-0.75-0.15vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Davis-0.43-2.22vs Predicted
-
15San Diego State University-1.80+0.63vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.33-6.47vs Predicted
-
17University of Victoria-1.16-2.78vs Predicted
-
18California State University Channel Islands-2.17-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.37Stanford University3.110.4%1st Place
-
4.94University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.1%1st Place
-
7.28University of Southern California1.050.0%1st Place
-
8.0California Poly Maritime Academy0.740.0%1st Place
-
3.54University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
-
7.06University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
-
8.17University of California at Berkeley0.710.0%1st Place
-
6.74University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.1%1st Place
-
10.27Western Washington University0.080.0%1st Place
-
11.31University of California at Santa Barbara-0.140.0%1st Place
-
10.98University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
-
10.19University of California at San Diego0.200.0%1st Place
-
12.85Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
11.78University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
15.63San Diego State University-1.800.0%1st Place
-
9.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.330.0%1st Place
-
14.22University of Victoria-1.160.0%1st Place
-
16.15California State University Channel Islands-2.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 36.0% | 27.4% | 16.8% | 10.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Louttit | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 21.0% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Aitor Iriso | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Gerber | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Elizabeth Fourney | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Emily Smith | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| John Alexander | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 5.6% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Tegan Smith | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 26.6% | 30.4% |
| Ryan Milne | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| MacLain Walsworth | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 12.9% |
| Joseph Silveira | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 23.6% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.