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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+9.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.64+6.80vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+5.07vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49+0.02vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.19+1.84vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.20-0.89vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University-1.53+5.88vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-1.24+3.80vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.93+1.17vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-0.58-1.39vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.02+4.38vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.97-1.63vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.35-1.21vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.11-8.69vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-2.26vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-2.24vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-5.77vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.71-3.98vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-1.68vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-1.87-5.69vs Predicted
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23California State University Channel Islands-3.16-1.63vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-2.35-5.41vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-4.45-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.2%1st Place
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3.93University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.2%1st Place
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12.21University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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10.8University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.0%1st Place
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6.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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8.84University of Southern California-0.190.1%1st Place
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7.11University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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14.88Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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13.8Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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12.17University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.61University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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17.38University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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12.37University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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13.79University of California at Davis-1.350.0%1st Place
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7.31University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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14.74University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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15.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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13.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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16.02University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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19.32University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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16.31San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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21.37California State University Channel Islands-3.160.0%1st Place
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18.59University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
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23.9University of California at San Diego-4.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Farmer | 17.0% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 19.5% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Kisling | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Brees | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zhonghan Yang | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Zack Taylor | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 5.3% |
| Blake Grossman | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Oscar Rios | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 32.1% | 14.8% |
| John Gallagher | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 4.0% |
| Zach Doe | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 10.8% | 71.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.