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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.80vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.64+8.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.20+4.02vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California-0.19+3.78vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+7.89vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46+3.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.51vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.35+4.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+2.22vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.24+2.68vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.46+2.96vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.93-0.80vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.87+2.71vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-2.02+2.02vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.71-0.39vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.97-4.65vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-11.99vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.35-0.85vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-4.04vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.58-10.22vs Predicted
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22California State University Channel Islands-3.16-0.80vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.53-8.04vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-2.43-5.00vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-4.45-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.2%1st Place
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10.67University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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4.64California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.2%1st Place
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8.78University of Southern California-0.190.1%1st Place
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13.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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10.05University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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13.97University of California at Davis-1.350.0%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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13.68Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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14.96University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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16.71San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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17.02University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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15.61University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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12.35University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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6.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.1%1st Place
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18.15University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
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15.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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10.78University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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21.2California State University Channel Islands-3.160.0%1st Place
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14.96Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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19.0University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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23.88University of California at San Diego-4.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 21.8% | 19.3% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Farmer | 16.3% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Zemke | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zhonghan Yang | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Brees | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Blake Grossman | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Ian Johnston | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Keller | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Gallagher | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 4.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Rios | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 29.8% | 15.7% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 4.6% |
| Zach Doe | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 13.1% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.