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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+2.67vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy0.91+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.91+9.02vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+3.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles-2.43+13.99vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.20+0.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-1.35+6.16vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.64+1.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.71+5.93vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.46-1.14vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.46+2.88vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.87+3.64vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-0.93-1.90vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-1.24-1.73vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-2.45vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.02+0.25vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.97-5.71vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California-0.19-10.90vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-2.35-1.29vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68-4.88vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.58-11.96vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.53-8.04vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands-3.16-2.66vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-4.45-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.2%1st Place
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4.51California Poly Maritime Academy0.910.2%1st Place
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12.02University of California at Santa Cruz-0.910.0%1st Place
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7.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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18.99University of California at Los Angeles-2.430.0%1st Place
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7.39University of California at Los Angeles0.110.1%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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14.16University of California at Davis-1.350.0%1st Place
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10.42University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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15.93University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Santa Cruz-0.460.0%1st Place
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14.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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16.64San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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12.1University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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13.27Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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13.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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17.25University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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12.29University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Southern California-0.190.1%1st Place
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18.71University of California at Los Angeles-2.350.0%1st Place
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16.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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10.04University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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14.96Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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21.34California State University Channel Islands-3.160.0%1st Place
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23.86University of California at San Diego-4.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 22.5% | 20.1% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Farmer | 15.2% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Holdenried | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Florence Duff | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Smith | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 4.5% |
| Zack Taylor | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zhonghan Yang | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 0.3% |
| Jack Zemke | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Blake Grossman | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Keller | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Gallagher | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 3.8% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean Kenealy | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Oscar Rios | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 30.5% | 15.8% |
| Zach Doe | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 13.4% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.