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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.21+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.68+7.17vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California-0.38+5.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+2.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.55+3.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+2.89vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.05-0.39vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-1.29vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-2.72vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.13+1.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.12+4.90vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.85+2.81vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78+5.77vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54-0.85vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-0.32vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-2.72vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.74+1.58vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.05-2.46vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.97-0.08vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.80-5.49vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-2.76-2.09vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.99-7.08vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-1.81-8.70vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-4.29-0.88vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-3.16-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99California Poly Maritime Academy1.210.3%1st Place
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9.17University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.1%1st Place
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8.67University of California at Berkeley-0.550.1%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.1%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Santa Barbara-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.1%1st Place
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6.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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11.35University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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15.9University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
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14.81San Diego State University-1.850.0%1st Place
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18.77Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
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13.15University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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13.28University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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18.58University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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15.54University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
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18.92Arizona State University-2.970.0%1st Place
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14.51University of California at San Diego-1.800.0%1st Place
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18.91California State University Channel Islands-2.760.0%1st Place
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14.92University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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14.3Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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23.12University of California at San Diego-4.290.0%1st Place
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20.04University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 30.1% | 23.0% | 15.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Erisman | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Adeline Spencer | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 6.1% |
| Connor Fagan | 0.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| samson grunwald | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Perkins | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 5.2% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 8.2% |
| Logan Lavine | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Brooke Rodgers | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 15.4% | 5.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| William Bailly | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 57.0% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.