← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.71+4.34vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College1.87+6.22vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.26+8.16vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.31+7.28vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.56+2.08vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.64+0.89vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University1.96+1.57vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.99+0.47vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.43vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University1.34+0.83vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University1.86-1.01vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania1.77-3.40vs Predicted
-
13North Carolina State University1.09-1.41vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.17-6.21vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.18-2.94vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University1.07-4.00vs Predicted
-
17Bowdoin College1.84-7.63vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy1.18-5.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.34Yale University2.7114.2%1st Place
-
8.22Dartmouth College1.876.8%1st Place
-
11.16College of Charleston1.263.3%1st Place
-
11.28Roger Williams University1.313.4%1st Place
-
7.08Boston College2.569.2%1st Place
-
6.89Stanford University2.648.3%1st Place
-
8.57Cornell University1.965.9%1st Place
-
8.47Brown University1.997.0%1st Place
-
9.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.634.8%1st Place
-
10.83Tulane University1.343.2%1st Place
-
9.99Georgetown University1.863.2%1st Place
-
8.6University of Pennsylvania1.776.3%1st Place
-
11.59North Carolina State University1.093.3%1st Place
-
7.79Harvard University2.178.2%1st Place
-
12.06Northeastern University1.182.7%1st Place
-
12.0George Washington University1.072.9%1st Place
-
9.37Bowdoin College1.844.8%1st Place
-
12.36U. S. Naval Academy1.182.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 14.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Freeman | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Winborne Majette | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% |
| Kelly Bates | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 14.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.6% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Ava Farley | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 15.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.