← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
2Western Washington University2.15+0.25vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University1.62-0.22vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.87-0.36vs Predicted
-
5University of Oregon1.97-2.62vs Predicted
-
6University of Puget Sound0.55-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.25Western Washington University2.150.3%1st Place
-
2.78Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
-
3.64University of Washington0.870.1%1st Place
-
2.38University of Oregon1.970.3%1st Place
-
3.95University of Puget Sound0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Taylor | 34.3% | 28.0% | 21.0% | 11.6% | 5.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 19.1% | 24.7% | 25.6% | 20.7% | 9.9% |
| Thomas Stewart | 9.8% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 29.3% | 32.9% |
| Andrew Balter | 30.0% | 26.4% | 24.2% | 14.4% | 5.0% |
| John Elam | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 24.0% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.