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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.21+1.66vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+4.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.05+3.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.68+4.48vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.80+8.91vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-0.38+1.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.13+3.61vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.55-0.04vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-2.60+8.42vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-1.67vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.85+3.03vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-2.97+7.37vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-2.12+2.39vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-1.06vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-0.91vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54-3.81vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-3.16+2.84vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-2.74+0.16vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-4.18vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.99-5.18vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-10.44vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-1.81-8.48vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78-4.61vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-4.29-0.95vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-2.05-10.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66California Poly Maritime Academy1.210.4%1st Place
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6.24University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.1%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Santa Barbara-0.050.1%1st Place
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8.48University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.91University of California at San Diego-1.800.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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10.61University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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7.96University of California at Berkeley-0.550.0%1st Place
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17.42California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.1%1st Place
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14.03San Diego State University-1.850.0%1st Place
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19.37Arizona State University-2.970.0%1st Place
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15.39University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
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12.94University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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14.09University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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12.19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
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19.84University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
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18.16University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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14.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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14.82University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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10.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
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13.52Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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18.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
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23.05University of California at San Diego-4.290.0%1st Place
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14.93University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 35.6% | 22.8% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 8.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Erisman | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Logan Lavine | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Eleanor Desai | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Moran | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Spencer | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 16.5% | 9.3% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| samson grunwald | 0.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Deven Douglas | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 19.4% | 12.7% |
| Tyler Perkins | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 4.9% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bailly | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 5.2% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 13.5% | 57.6% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.