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📊 Prediction Accuracy
24.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+5.06vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.21+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara-0.05+3.06vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.38+3.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.55+2.97vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.68+2.52vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+6.18vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-2.60+9.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-4.29+13.96vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.80+3.95vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.12+4.38vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-3.16+8.11vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.85+1.05vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+0.50vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-0.03vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.13-5.70vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.74+1.18vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-9.80vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.97-0.44vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.05-4.99vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.81-6.75vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.99-7.61vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.78-4.66vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54-11.66vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.07-14.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.1%1st Place
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2.71California Poly Maritime Academy1.210.3%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Santa Barbara-0.050.1%1st Place
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7.31University of Southern California-0.380.1%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Berkeley-0.550.1%1st Place
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8.52University of California at San Diego-0.680.1%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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17.61California State University Channel Islands-2.600.0%1st Place
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22.96University of California at San Diego-4.290.0%1st Place
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13.95University of California at San Diego-1.800.0%1st Place
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15.38University of California at Davis-2.120.0%1st Place
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20.11University of California at Davis-3.160.0%1st Place
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14.05San Diego State University-1.850.0%1st Place
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14.5University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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14.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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10.3University of California at San Diego-1.130.0%1st Place
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18.18University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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8.2University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.1%1st Place
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18.56Arizona State University-2.970.0%1st Place
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15.01University of California at San Diego-2.050.0%1st Place
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14.25Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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14.39University of California at San Diego-1.990.0%1st Place
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18.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.780.0%1st Place
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12.34University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
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10.09Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.070.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Summer Drake | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cyrus Khaleeli | 33.7% | 24.2% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Erisman | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Desai | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Stroumza | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Liam Moran | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 4.6% |
| natasha chiotis | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 12.8% | 57.2% |
| Logan Lavine | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Melody Quevedo | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Bryson Dort | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 14.3% |
| Adeline Spencer | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Walden Hillegass | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Perkins | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 4.5% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 8.9% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| William Bailly | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Alexis Di Stefano | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 4.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ximena Greatorex | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.