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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+5.69vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University1.86+7.78vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.71+2.17vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.56+3.05vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.26+5.95vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.18+5.92vs Predicted
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7Tulane University1.34+3.72vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.17-0.27vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.21vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.84-0.76vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.87-2.83vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-0.64vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-1.27vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.45-2.07vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.31-4.06vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.96-7.52vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.99-8.80vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.07-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.69Stanford University2.649.7%1st Place
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9.78Georgetown University1.864.2%1st Place
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5.17Yale University2.7113.5%1st Place
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7.05Boston College2.568.7%1st Place
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10.95College of Charleston1.264.0%1st Place
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11.92U. S. Naval Academy1.183.5%1st Place
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10.72Tulane University1.343.5%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University2.177.0%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.1%1st Place
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9.24Bowdoin College1.845.2%1st Place
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8.17Dartmouth College1.876.9%1st Place
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11.36North Carolina State University1.094.0%1st Place
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11.73Northeastern University1.182.9%1st Place
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11.93University of Pennsylvania1.452.2%1st Place
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10.94Roger Williams University1.313.5%1st Place
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8.48Cornell University1.966.8%1st Place
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8.2Brown University1.996.6%1st Place
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11.72George Washington University1.072.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.5% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Ava Farley | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% |
| Madeleine Rice | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.