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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.62+1.79vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.15+0.18vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon1.97-0.61vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound0.55-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.87-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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2.18Western Washington University2.150.4%1st Place
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2.39University of Oregon1.970.3%1st Place
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3.99University of Puget Sound0.550.1%1st Place
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3.65University of Washington0.870.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Vincent | 20.9% | 22.0% | 25.1% | 21.7% | 10.3% |
| Patrick Taylor | 35.2% | 29.1% | 21.4% | 10.7% | 3.6% |
| Andrew Balter | 29.6% | 26.9% | 23.5% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
| John Elam | 5.9% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 25.1% | 47.2% |
| Thomas Stewart | 8.4% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 28.0% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.