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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon-0.46+1.87vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.01+1.91vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.68+0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-1.20-0.01vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.95+2.08vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.53-1.31vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-2.01-2.34vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-2.23-2.95vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-3.20-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of Oregon-0.460.3%1st Place
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3.91Western Washington University-1.010.1%1st Place
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3.19Western Washington University-0.680.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Washington-1.200.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Washington-2.950.0%1st Place
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4.69Western Washington University-1.530.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Washington-2.010.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Oregon-2.230.1%1st Place
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7.55Western Washington University-3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Avey | 27.2% | 22.9% | 17.5% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Anna Morrow | 12.3% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Cooper Snell | 22.1% | 20.3% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Lauren McClintock | 14.3% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Duncan Weiner | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 24.7% | 32.4% |
| Annelisa Ayars | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Malcolm Renney | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 6.3% |
| John Kish | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 12.3% |
| Eric Newell | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 22.1% | 45.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.