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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+1.42vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50+0.95vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.94+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.14-1.64vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.99-1.19vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.68-2.76vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.98-1.50vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-1.72-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
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3.95Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.74University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Oregon-0.140.2%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University-0.990.1%1st Place
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4.24Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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6.5Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
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5.98University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 35.5% | 25.1% | 17.8% | 11.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Hurley | 12.2% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.3% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 8.3% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 8.7% |
| Dylan Murphy | 17.8% | 20.6% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 9.4% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 12.0% | 11.1% | 16.6% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 5.0% |
| Madeleine Williams | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 19.5% | 45.4% |
| Austin Lai | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 17.0% | 23.4% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.