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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.99+3.76vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.43-1.54vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-0.14-1.63vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.94-1.22vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.68-2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.72-1.89vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.98-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.76Western Washington University-0.990.1%1st Place
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3.97Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Washington0.430.3%1st Place
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3.37University of Oregon-0.140.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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4.2Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
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6.35Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kurtis Johnston | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 8.9% |
| Caroline Hurley | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| Maxwell Miller | 34.1% | 25.4% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Murphy | 18.5% | 20.1% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 8.3% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 12.0% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 9.8% | 5.1% |
| Austin Lai | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 33.2% |
| Madeleine Williams | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 21.7% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.