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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.50+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.14+1.36vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.43-0.56vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.68+0.28vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-1.72+1.08vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.94-1.28vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.98-0.54vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.99-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Oregon-0.140.2%1st Place
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2.44University of Washington0.430.3%1st Place
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4.28Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
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4.72University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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6.46Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
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4.73Western Washington University-0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Hurley | 13.1% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Dylan Murphy | 18.2% | 20.9% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 34.3% | 25.4% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 10.3% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 5.5% |
| Austin Lai | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 24.3% | 29.1% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 8.8% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 9.2% |
| Madeleine Williams | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 20.8% | 43.5% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 8.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.