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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.50+2.91vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.68+2.31vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.43-0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon-0.14-0.65vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.98+1.46vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.94-1.28vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.72-1.93vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.99-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.31Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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2.46University of Washington0.430.3%1st Place
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3.35University of Oregon-0.140.2%1st Place
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6.46Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
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4.72University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
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4.72Western Washington University-0.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Hurley | 13.1% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 2.9% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 10.3% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 4.9% |
| Maxwell Miller | 33.6% | 25.6% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Murphy | 19.0% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 8.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Madeleine Williams | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 13.3% | 21.2% | 41.9% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 9.4% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 8.9% |
| Austin Lai | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 22.4% | 32.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.