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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University-0.50+2.94vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.14+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.43-1.53vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.99-0.16vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.98+0.45vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.68-2.78vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.72-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.94-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Oregon-0.140.2%1st Place
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2.47University of Washington0.430.3%1st Place
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4.84Western Washington University-0.990.1%1st Place
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6.45Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
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4.22Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Hurley | 12.9% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
| Dylan Murphy | 17.7% | 20.8% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Maxwell Miller | 33.6% | 25.3% | 18.9% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 17.1% | 9.3% |
| Madeleine Williams | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 21.7% | 41.6% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 11.7% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 5.0% |
| Austin Lai | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 22.8% | 32.0% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.