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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon-0.14+2.23vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.68+2.32vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50+0.91vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.43-1.52vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-1.72+0.08vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.99-2.18vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.94-3.24vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.98-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Oregon-0.140.2%1st Place
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4.32Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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3.91Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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2.48University of Washington0.430.3%1st Place
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6.08University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
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4.82Western Washington University-0.990.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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6.39Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Murphy | 19.9% | 22.5% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 10.3% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Caroline Hurley | 13.3% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 33.5% | 24.7% | 18.7% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Austin Lai | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 23.8% | 31.0% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 9.5% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 9.2% |
| Madeleine Williams | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 20.8% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.