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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.43+1.41vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon-0.14+1.37vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.68+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.94+0.75vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.99-1.19vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.50-3.08vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-1.72-1.91vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.98-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41University of Washington0.430.4%1st Place
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3.37University of Oregon-0.140.2%1st Place
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4.25Western Washington University-0.680.1%1st Place
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4.75University of Washington-0.940.1%1st Place
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4.81Western Washington University-0.990.1%1st Place
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3.92Western Washington University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Washington-1.720.0%1st Place
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6.39Western Washington University-1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Miller | 35.8% | 24.7% | 18.3% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Murphy | 18.3% | 19.5% | 19.1% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 10.3% | 4.7% |
| Jaxon Gordon | 7.5% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 8.3% |
| Kurtis Johnston | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 9.7% |
| Caroline Hurley | 13.8% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Austin Lai | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 22.1% | 33.2% |
| Madeleine Williams | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 22.2% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.