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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.64+5.55vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.56+5.05vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+8.96vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+5.15vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71+0.13vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University1.86+3.64vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.31+3.96vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.87+0.41vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.84+0.18vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.34+1.04vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.18+1.13vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.90-2.43vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.09-1.44vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.07-2.05vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.96-6.45vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.99-7.59vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.77-8.27vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.26-6.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Stanford University2.6410.5%1st Place
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7.05Boston College2.568.8%1st Place
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11.96Northeastern University1.182.8%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.634.8%1st Place
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5.13Yale University2.7116.0%1st Place
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9.64Georgetown University1.864.5%1st Place
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10.96Roger Williams University1.313.5%1st Place
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8.41Dartmouth College1.875.9%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College1.845.5%1st Place
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11.04Tulane University1.343.8%1st Place
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12.13U. S. Naval Academy1.182.5%1st Place
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9.57Harvard University1.904.6%1st Place
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11.56North Carolina State University1.092.2%1st Place
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11.95George Washington University1.072.6%1st Place
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8.55Cornell University1.966.5%1st Place
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8.41Brown University1.996.1%1st Place
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8.73University of Pennsylvania1.775.8%1st Place
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11.03College of Charleston1.263.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 16.0% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.5% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.6% |
| Winborne Majette | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.