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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.11+5.65vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.62+2.94vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+3.32vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University2.01+2.64vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+1.28vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+2.83vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35-1.34vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.01-1.32vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College1.70-1.20vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.70-1.93vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-2.85vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University-0.31+2.52vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-0.10+0.53vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.59-2.57vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.92-4.46vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University0.07-2.64vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-1.06-1.10vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-1.04-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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4.94Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
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6.64North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.28St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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8.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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5.66George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.68Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.8Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.1%1st Place
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14.52Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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11.43Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Hawaii0.920.0%1st Place
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13.36Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
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15.9University of California at Berkeley-1.060.0%1st Place
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15.69Santa Clara University-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connell Phillipps | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Edward Cook | 11.9% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 9.5% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Green | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Liam Brinton | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 21.1% | 12.9% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 5.1% |
| Tessa Greene | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 21.5% | 38.1% |
| will dimaio | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 16.0% | 22.8% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.