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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.62+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.11+4.61vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01+3.90vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.35+1.57vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.70+2.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.70+1.89vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.01-0.25vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15-1.80vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.42-0.21vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-1.72vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii0.92-0.29vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-1.04+4.02vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.59-1.46vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California-0.10-0.55vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.07-1.79vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University-0.31-1.67vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-1.06-1.12vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-11.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Georgetown University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.57George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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7.77Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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7.89University of California at Los Angeles1.700.1%1st Place
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6.75North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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6.2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.0%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Hawaii0.920.0%1st Place
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16.02Santa Clara University-1.040.0%1st Place
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11.54Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.45University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
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13.21Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
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14.33Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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15.88University of California at Berkeley-1.060.0%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 13.4% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 12.3% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 5.7% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Green | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| will dimaio | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 24.1% | 37.7% |
| Aidan Boylan | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Edward Ansart | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 7.1% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 10.3% | 6.3% |
| Liam Brinton | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 20.1% | 11.2% |
| Tessa Greene | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 23.3% | 36.3% |
| Matthew Kickhafer | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.