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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.62+3.61vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.96vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.70+4.45vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.11+1.88vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.01+1.20vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.35-0.82vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University2.01-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+0.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.50vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.54+1.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-1.06+4.62vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii0.92-1.72vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-0.38+0.86vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-6.76vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.07-2.22vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.59-4.87vs Predicted
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17Oregon State University-0.31-3.04vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-1.04-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Georgetown University2.620.2%1st Place
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5.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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7.45Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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5.88University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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6.2Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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5.18George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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6.25North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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9.5University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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11.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.540.0%1st Place
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15.62University of California at Berkeley-1.060.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Hawaii0.920.0%1st Place
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13.86University of Southern California-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.1%1st Place
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12.78Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
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11.13Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.96Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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15.47Santa Clara University-1.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 15.3% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| matthew Monts | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jack Farrell | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Tessa Greene | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 36.7% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Eleanor Desai | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 11.5% |
| Thomas Green | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 5.5% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Liam Brinton | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 11.2% |
| will dimaio | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 14.8% | 22.2% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.