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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.62+3.61vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.15+3.90vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.01+3.42vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+5.37vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.70+2.24vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.11-0.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+1.23vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.35-2.83vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.59+2.11vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.92+0.21vs Predicted
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11Oregon State University-0.31+2.92vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University2.01-5.43vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.54-1.92vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.64-6.71vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.07-2.26vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-1.04-0.35vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California-0.38-2.90vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-1.06-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Georgetown University2.620.2%1st Place
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5.9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.150.1%1st Place
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6.42Roger Williams University2.010.1%1st Place
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9.37University of California at Los Angeles1.060.0%1st Place
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7.24Eckerd College1.700.1%1st Place
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5.91University of Vermont2.110.1%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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5.17George Washington University2.350.1%1st Place
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11.11Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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10.21University of Hawaii0.920.0%1st Place
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13.92Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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6.57North Carolina State University2.010.1%1st Place
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11.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.540.0%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.640.1%1st Place
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12.74Northwestern University0.070.0%1st Place
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15.65Santa Clara University-1.040.0%1st Place
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14.1University of Southern California-0.380.0%1st Place
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15.51University of California at Berkeley-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Cook | 15.3% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madison Bashaw | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Roman | 8.6% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| matthew Monts | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connell Phillipps | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Owen Timms | 13.1% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Nikhil Stewart | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Liam Brinton | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 18.1% | 11.2% |
| Adam Larson | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Farrell | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Thomas Green | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 5.0% |
| will dimaio | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 22.5% | 33.7% |
| Eleanor Desai | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 13.9% |
| Tessa Greene | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 15.7% | 21.3% | 32.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.