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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+4.81vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+2.27vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+6.12vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.32+3.94vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82+1.36vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.54+1.37vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.12+1.74vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.09+0.84vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University-1.63+7.11vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.30-1.62vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.33-2.81vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-1.11+3.33vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.89-3.55vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-8.68vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-1.54+0.92vs Predicted
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16University of Southern California-0.19-2.98vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.75-2.60vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara1.77-11.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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4.27Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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7.94University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.1%1st Place
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7.37North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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8.74Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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16.11Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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8.38University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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8.19Northwestern University1.330.1%1st Place
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15.33Santa Clara University-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.45George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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5.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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15.92University of California at Berkeley-1.540.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Southern California-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.4Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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6.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Higham | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 16.1% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cole Tillson | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 15.9% | 24.8% | 35.5% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Smith | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Vodzak | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 21.1% | 23.0% | 19.9% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 12.5% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 11.2% | 17.2% | 22.5% | 32.3% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 9.2% | 2.7% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 17.9% | 20.9% | 18.1% | 9.2% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.