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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+5.74vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.32+5.27vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.06+1.59vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+0.45vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.09+2.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.12vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.54-0.75vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08-0.11vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.33-1.72vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.12-2.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-5.37vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California-0.19-0.15vs Predicted
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14George Washington University0.89-4.68vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.11+0.18vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University-1.63+0.13vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.75-2.59vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-1.54-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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4.29Georgetown University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Vermont1.320.0%1st Place
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5.59Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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8.12University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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7.25North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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8.89St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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8.28Northwestern University1.330.1%1st Place
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8.92Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.1%1st Place
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12.85University of Southern California-0.190.0%1st Place
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9.32George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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15.18Santa Clara University-1.110.0%1st Place
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16.13Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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14.41Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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15.81University of California at Berkeley-1.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 14.3% | 17.7% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 12.7% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Smith | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Richardson | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Cole Tillson | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Miles Kirkbride | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 3.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Vodzak | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 23.1% | 22.2% | 17.4% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 15.5% | 23.9% | 38.3% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 11.1% | 18.7% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 11.0% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 18.2% | 26.6% | 30.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.