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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+3.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+5.80vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.77+2.82vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06+0.97vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.67+1.28vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.33+1.42vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.32+0.41vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland1.08+0.38vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.82-3.08vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.09-1.49vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-1.11+3.56vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.89-3.13vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.12-5.06vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.54-7.33vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-1.54+0.14vs Predicted
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17Oregon State University-1.63-0.72vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.75-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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5.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.8University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Santa Barbara1.770.1%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Southern California1.670.1%1st Place
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8.42Northwestern University1.330.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont1.320.1%1st Place
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9.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.080.0%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.820.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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15.56Santa Clara University-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University0.890.0%1st Place
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8.94Eckerd College1.120.0%1st Place
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7.67North Carolina State University1.540.1%1st Place
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16.14University of California at Berkeley-1.540.0%1st Place
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16.28Oregon State University-1.630.0%1st Place
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14.49Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 16.0% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Snead | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Seawards | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Davis Winsor | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Smith | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Kleha | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cole Tillson | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Vodzak | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.8% | 11.6% | 24.4% | 26.0% | 19.6% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Griffin Richardson | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Usher | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Viola Phillips Frank | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 9.4% | 18.1% | 26.9% | 33.8% |
| Quincy Spurlock | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 25.2% | 38.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 19.7% | 25.9% | 17.2% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.