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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.84+8.24vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.18+10.00vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.56+4.03vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.07+8.16vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86+4.82vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.79+2.88vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.26+4.16vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+1.07vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.99-0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.77-1.56vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.71-5.76vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.90-2.36vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.64-6.39vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.87-5.63vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.31-4.02vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University1.09-4.38vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.34-6.29vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.18-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.24Bowdoin College1.845.2%1st Place
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12.0U. S. Naval Academy1.182.9%1st Place
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7.03Boston College2.568.2%1st Place
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12.16George Washington University1.072.5%1st Place
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9.82Georgetown University1.865.1%1st Place
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8.88Cornell University1.795.9%1st Place
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11.16College of Charleston1.263.5%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.9%1st Place
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8.21Brown University1.996.8%1st Place
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8.44University of Pennsylvania1.775.9%1st Place
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5.24Yale University2.7113.5%1st Place
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9.64Harvard University1.904.9%1st Place
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6.61Stanford University2.6410.4%1st Place
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8.37Dartmouth College1.875.7%1st Place
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10.98Roger Williams University1.313.3%1st Place
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11.62North Carolina State University1.093.4%1st Place
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10.71Tulane University1.343.6%1st Place
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11.8Northeastern University1.183.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.4% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 13.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Katharine Doble | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% |
| Mia Hanes | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.