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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University2.35+3.41vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.53+5.06vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.82+6.74vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.94+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.09+3.42vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.26+1.83vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.59+3.38vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.77-2.09vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.98-0.12vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.11+2.37vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.74-4.74vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43+2.16vs Predicted
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13University of British Columbia-0.56+1.14vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-0.66+0.31vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.16-6.83vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-7.34vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego0.50-6.10vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-0.50-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.06University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Victoria0.820.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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7.83University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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10.38Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.91Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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8.88University of Rhode Island0.980.0%1st Place
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12.37University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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6.26Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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14.16University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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14.14University of British Columbia-0.560.0%1st Place
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14.31University of California at Berkeley-0.660.0%1st Place
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8.17Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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8.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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10.9University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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13.96University of Victoria-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Mraz | 17.8% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kate Sargent | 3.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Owen Lahr | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Carew | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Valerio Palamara | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| kai rauch | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 6.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 10.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 22.0% |
| Zach Thompson | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 22.4% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 24.9% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Noah Barton | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Maya Gray | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.