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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.94+4.65vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.53+5.05vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09+4.37vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.74+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.26+1.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.11+5.15vs Predicted
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8Hampton University1.77-2.00vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego0.50+1.68vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.98-0.87vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.82-1.36vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43+2.18vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-4.49vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.16-6.04vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.66-0.48vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University0.59-5.53vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia-0.56-2.62vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-0.50-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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4.37Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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8.37University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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6.12Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.88University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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12.15University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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6.0Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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10.68University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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9.13University of Rhode Island0.980.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Victoria0.820.0%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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7.96Salve Regina University1.160.1%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Berkeley-0.660.0%1st Place
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10.47Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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14.38University of British Columbia-0.560.0%1st Place
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13.97University of Victoria-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Lahr | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trey Summers | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 16.3% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nils Tullberg | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 5.9% |
| Valerio Palamara | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| kai rauch | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Kate Sargent | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 20.3% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Pearl Lattanzi | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 25.4% |
| Aidan Boylan | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Zach Thompson | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 23.6% |
| Maya Gray | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.