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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.94+3.92vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.91vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+4.87vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.74+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.98+3.07vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.26+1.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.11+4.17vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.82+0.55vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.59+0.72vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.09-2.30vs Predicted
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12Hampton University1.77-6.28vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.43-0.19vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.50-0.94vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.53-8.61vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia-0.56-2.89vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley-0.66-3.48vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.64-4.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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3.91Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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7.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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5.66Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island0.980.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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11.17University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Victoria0.820.1%1st Place
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9.72Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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7.7University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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5.72Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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12.81University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.06University of Victoria-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.39University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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13.11University of British Columbia-0.560.0%1st Place
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13.52University of California at Berkeley-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.46University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Lahr | 15.0% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 20.9% | 15.9% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| kai rauch | 3.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Carew | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 4.2% |
| Kate Sargent | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 15.0% |
| Maya Gray | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 16.2% |
| Trey Summers | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Thompson | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 18.9% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 21.2% |
| Amanda Brooks | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 17.6% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.