← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii1.09+6.60vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University1.74+3.57vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.11+8.05vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.94+1.13vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University2.35-1.08vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii1.26+1.37vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.92vs Predicted
-
8Arizona State University0.59+1.38vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii1.53-2.51vs Predicted
-
10Hampton University1.77-4.49vs Predicted
-
12University of Victoria0.82-3.15vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island0.98-4.88vs Predicted
-
14University of British Columbia-0.56-0.75vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Davis-0.43-2.07vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Berkeley-0.66-2.62vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-0.64-3.51vs Predicted
-
18University of Victoria-0.50-4.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.6University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
-
5.57Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
-
11.05University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
-
5.13University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
-
3.92Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
-
7.37University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
-
7.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
-
9.38Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
-
6.49University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
-
5.51Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
-
8.85University of Victoria0.820.0%1st Place
-
8.12University of Rhode Island0.980.0%1st Place
-
13.25University of British Columbia-0.560.0%1st Place
-
12.93University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
-
13.38University of California at Berkeley-0.660.0%1st Place
-
13.49University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
-
13.05University of Victoria-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 4.4% |
| Owen Lahr | 12.8% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 20.6% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Carew | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Aidan Boylan | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Trey Summers | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Kate Sargent | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% |
| kai rauch | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Zach Thompson | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| Braedon Hansen | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 15.2% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 17.1% | 21.4% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 20.2% |
| Maya Gray | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 15.0% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.