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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.94+3.90vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.35+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.82+5.71vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.74+1.73vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+2.79vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.43+6.96vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.98+1.15vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.26-0.90vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.53-2.51vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.09-3.35vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.82vs Predicted
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13Hampton University1.77-7.41vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.50-0.97vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.66-1.49vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.64-2.65vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University0.59-7.35vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-0.56-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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3.95Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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8.71University of Victoria0.820.0%1st Place
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5.73Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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7.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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12.96University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Rhode Island0.980.1%1st Place
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7.1University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Hawaii1.090.0%1st Place
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11.18University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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5.59Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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13.03University of Victoria-0.500.0%1st Place
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13.51University of California at Berkeley-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.35University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.65Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.25University of British Columbia-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Lahr | 14.5% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 20.0% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kate Sargent | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Nils Tullberg | 11.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 15.7% |
| kai rauch | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Morgan Carew | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Trey Summers | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.4% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Valerio Palamara | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maya Gray | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 16.3% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 12.9% | 19.3% | 20.7% |
| Amanda Brooks | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 21.5% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Zach Thompson | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.