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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.53+5.13vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.94+3.03vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+4.77vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+4.00vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.26+2.05vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.35-1.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.11+4.16vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.74-2.44vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.82-0.07vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.98-1.97vs Predicted
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11Hampton University1.77-5.30vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43+0.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.66+0.51vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-0.50-0.85vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia-0.56-2.90vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-0.64-3.54vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University0.59-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13University of Hawaii1.530.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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7.77University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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8.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.1%1st Place
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7.05University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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4.05Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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11.16University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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5.56Salve Regina University1.740.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Victoria0.820.0%1st Place
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8.03University of Rhode Island0.980.0%1st Place
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5.7Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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12.75University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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13.51University of California at Berkeley-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.15University of Victoria-0.500.0%1st Place
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13.1University of British Columbia-0.560.0%1st Place
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13.46University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.62Arizona State University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Summers | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Carew | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Mraz | 18.0% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Nils Tullberg | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Sargent | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| kai rauch | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Valerio Palamara | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 13.3% |
| Sophia Jacobs | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 21.9% |
| Maya Gray | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 17.0% | 18.3% |
| Zach Thompson | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 18.4% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 20.9% |
| Aidan Boylan | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.