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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon1.97+1.41vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.15+0.19vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.62-0.22vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.87-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Puget Sound0.55-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.41University of Oregon1.970.3%1st Place
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2.19Western Washington University2.150.4%1st Place
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2.78Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
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3.64University of Washington0.870.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Puget Sound0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Balter | 30.0% | 26.6% | 22.2% | 14.7% | 6.5% |
| Patrick Taylor | 35.8% | 27.7% | 22.0% | 11.2% | 3.3% |
| Ashley Vincent | 20.5% | 22.3% | 25.8% | 21.2% | 10.2% |
| Thomas Stewart | 7.5% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 27.4% | 32.5% |
| John Elam | 6.2% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 25.5% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.