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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.17+6.71vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.79+6.82vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.84+6.47vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33+6.14vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.71+0.24vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.87+2.20vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.64-0.40vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.56-1.07vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.29vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18+2.32vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.09+0.57vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University1.86-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.77-4.65vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.07-2.09vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.18-2.84vs Predicted
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16Tulane University1.34-5.33vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.31-5.98vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston1.26-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Harvard University2.177.8%1st Place
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8.82Cornell University1.796.0%1st Place
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9.47Bowdoin College1.844.6%1st Place
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10.14Brown University1.334.4%1st Place
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5.24Yale University2.7113.2%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College1.877.5%1st Place
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6.6Stanford University2.649.7%1st Place
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6.93Boston College2.5610.2%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.634.4%1st Place
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12.32Northeastern University1.182.2%1st Place
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11.57North Carolina State University1.092.8%1st Place
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9.57Georgetown University1.864.8%1st Place
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8.35University of Pennsylvania1.776.2%1st Place
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11.91George Washington University1.072.7%1st Place
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12.16U. S. Naval Academy1.182.4%1st Place
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10.67Tulane University1.344.0%1st Place
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11.02Roger Williams University1.312.9%1st Place
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11.04College of Charleston1.264.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Devling | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Lauren Russler | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 13.2% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 14.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% |
| Kelly Bates | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Sofia Segalla | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% |
| Ava Farley | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 15.4% |
| Mia Hanes | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.