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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+4.75vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+0.90vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.81+3.66vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62+2.94vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.28-1.96vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.72+5.25vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.32+0.93vs Predicted
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8Princeton University1.08-2.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.06+3.33vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-4.68vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-0.59vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.46+1.73vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-0.18vs Predicted
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14University of Victoria-1.20-1.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.58-4.25vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii-1.01-3.75vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-3.01vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-3.14-1.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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2.9University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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6.66Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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6.94Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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3.04University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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7.93Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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5.68Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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12.33University of California at Berkeley-1.060.0%1st Place
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5.32Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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10.41SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.73University of Victoria-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.75University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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12.25University of Hawaii-1.010.0%1st Place
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13.99University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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16.78University of British Columbia-3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 24.3% | 24.2% | 20.8% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 26.6% | 21.4% | 18.0% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tessa Greene | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Guillaume Claude | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 18.1% | 7.6% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 4.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 3.8% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| katherine shofran | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 2.7% |
| samson grunwald | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 20.7% | 8.9% |
| Angela Ying | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 68.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.