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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+2.17vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.38+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-1.06+9.51vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.62+2.98vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.15+0.56vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08-0.20vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.81-0.52vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31-2.87vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.72+2.25vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University0.32-1.85vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-0.61vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.20+1.01vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.38vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii-1.01-2.10vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-1.09vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-3.05vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia-3.14-0.08vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-1.46-4.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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2.96University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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12.51University of California at Berkeley-1.060.0%1st Place
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6.98Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.8Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.48Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.13Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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8.15Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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10.39SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.0%1st Place
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13.01University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.62University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Hawaii-1.010.0%1st Place
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13.91University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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12.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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16.92University of British Columbia-3.140.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Victoria-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 23.9% | 21.2% | 18.2% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 25.4% | 23.3% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tessa Greene | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 3.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 4.7% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| katherine shofran | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 1.8% |
| samson grunwald | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 8.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 4.3% |
| Angela Ying | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 69.9% |
| Guillaume Claude | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.