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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+2.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.72+9.76vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.38-0.08vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31+1.12vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.62+2.14vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08-0.12vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.42+3.45vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.32+0.02vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii-1.01+3.46vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.15-4.21vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-1.46+2.87vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.20+1.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.58-2.05vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-0.97vs Predicted
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15Hampton University0.81-8.43vs Predicted
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16University of British Columbia-1.38-2.35vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.62-2.62vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-1.06-5.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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11.76University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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2.92University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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5.12Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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7.14Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.88Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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10.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.02Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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12.46University of Hawaii-1.010.0%1st Place
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5.79University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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13.87University of Victoria-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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10.95University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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13.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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6.57Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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13.65University of British Columbia-1.380.0%1st Place
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14.38University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Berkeley-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 23.8% | 21.6% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Erik Anderson | 26.1% | 24.5% | 17.3% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.0% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 6.5% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| katherine shofran | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guillaume Claude | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 17.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% |
| Tobie Bloom | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jamie Kim | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 15.6% |
| samson grunwald | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 15.7% | 24.8% |
| Tessa Greene | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.