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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+3.74vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+2.25vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.81+2.45vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University0.62+1.98vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08-0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii2.38-4.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.50+2.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.93+2.77vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.46+3.35vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-1.67vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.46+1.46vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii-1.01-1.22vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.32-6.26vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-2.33vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-1.20-3.53vs Predicted
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17University of British Columbia-3.14-0.24vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.32-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Hawaii2.280.3%1st Place
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5.74University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.25Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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6.45Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.98Salve Regina University0.620.1%1st Place
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5.78Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.9University of Hawaii2.380.3%1st Place
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10.32University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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11.77University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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13.35University of Victoria-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.33SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.0%1st Place
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13.46University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Hawaii-1.010.0%1st Place
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7.74Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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12.67Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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12.47University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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16.76University of British Columbia-3.140.0%1st Place
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15.15University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 25.1% | 22.2% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 7.5% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 29.5% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Guillaume Claude | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 4.4% |
| Brendan Strein | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 5.8% |
| katherine shofran | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 2.9% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 2.0% |
| Angela Ying | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 15.4% | 61.3% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 16.5% | 26.1% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.