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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.38+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.94+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.15+2.06vs Predicted
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5Princeton University1.08+1.20vs Predicted
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6Hampton University0.81+1.04vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31-1.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis-0.93+4.03vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.55+1.95vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.98vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.32-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-1.20+1.05vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.62-5.55vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.22vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-1.49vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria-1.46-2.47vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.32-1.45vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-3.14-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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3.48University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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4.21University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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6.06University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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6.2Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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7.04Hampton University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.63Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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12.03University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.95SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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8.55Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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13.05University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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7.45Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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12.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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13.51University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.53University of Victoria-1.460.0%1st Place
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15.55University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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16.68University of British Columbia-3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Anderson | 22.3% | 22.1% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 19.8% | 19.1% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Salas | 14.6% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.0% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 3.3% |
| Emil Tullberg | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 2.7% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 4.9% |
| Guillaume Claude | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 6.0% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 30.2% | 23.1% |
| Angela Ying | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 17.5% | 58.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.