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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.62+6.73vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.28+1.50vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.38+0.27vs Predicted
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4Hampton University0.81+2.99vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.94-0.89vs Predicted
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6Princeton University1.08+0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.15-0.89vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University0.32+0.38vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31-3.37vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-1.46+3.66vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+2.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.89vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.93-1.10vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-3.24vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria-1.20-2.17vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-2.47vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.32-1.50vs Predicted
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18University of British Columbia-3.14-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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3.5University of Hawaii2.280.2%1st Place
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3.27University of Hawaii2.380.2%1st Place
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6.99Hampton University0.810.0%1st Place
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4.11University of Hawaii1.940.2%1st Place
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6.33Princeton University1.080.1%1st Place
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6.11University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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8.38Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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5.63Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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13.66University of Victoria-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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11.9University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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12.83University of Victoria-1.200.0%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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15.5University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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16.64University of British Columbia-3.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Tullberg | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 19.0% | 20.2% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Anderson | 22.5% | 20.1% | 17.1% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Salas | 17.3% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Asher Green | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Guillaume Claude | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 5.8% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 4.4% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Magill | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Stevens | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 11.3% | 5.4% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 28.6% | 23.4% |
| Angela Ying | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 20.2% | 56.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.