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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University0.32+9.36vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.50+7.70vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.12vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+3.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.79+2.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.11+4.26vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.64+0.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.07+3.01vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.68+5.20vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.24+6.79vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.71-3.43vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.52vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+6.19vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.75+0.54vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-4.03vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.71+2.97vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-0.90-1.62vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-10.29vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.93+0.53vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-0.97-4.17vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-3.10vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University0.17-12.15vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-5.31vs Predicted
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25University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54-5.61vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.36Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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9.7University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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7.39California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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8.11University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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11.26University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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12.01University of California at San Diego-0.070.0%1st Place
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15.2University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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17.79Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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20.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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15.54Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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19.97University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
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16.38Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.71University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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20.53San Diego State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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16.83University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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18.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.85San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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18.69University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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19.39University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
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23.17University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Grimsley | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 12.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 15.0% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 8.6% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Colin Olson | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Van Ness | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 13.1% |
| Andrew Keller | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Connor Fagan | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 42.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.