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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.33+9.18vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.64+4.55vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+4.51vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University1.86+5.68vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.56+2.24vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.07+6.10vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18+5.18vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.87+0.21vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.71-3.65vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-0.60vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.26-0.01vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.09-0.49vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.31-2.07vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.77-5.47vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.79-6.15vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.84-6.82vs Predicted
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17Tulane University1.34-6.66vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.18-5.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.18Brown University1.334.9%1st Place
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6.55Stanford University2.6410.1%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.179.3%1st Place
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9.68Georgetown University1.865.8%1st Place
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7.24Boston College2.568.1%1st Place
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12.1George Washington University1.072.5%1st Place
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12.18Northeastern University1.182.4%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College1.877.0%1st Place
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5.35Yale University2.7112.8%1st Place
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9.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.634.2%1st Place
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10.99College of Charleston1.263.4%1st Place
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11.51North Carolina State University1.093.2%1st Place
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10.93Roger Williams University1.313.3%1st Place
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8.53University of Pennsylvania1.775.7%1st Place
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8.85Cornell University1.795.5%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College1.845.8%1st Place
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10.34Tulane University1.344.2%1st Place
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12.27U. S. Naval Academy1.182.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| Hannah Freeman | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kelly Bates | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 14.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 15.0% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 12.8% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Emily Alfortish | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% |
| Isabella du Plessis | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.7% |
| Tavia Smith | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% |
| Sofia Segalla | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Sophia Devling | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% |
| Lucy Spearman | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Ava Farley | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.