← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Oregon1.97+1.44vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University2.15+0.21vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.87+0.61vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University1.62-2.22vs Predicted
-
7University of Puget Sound0.55-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.44University of Oregon1.970.3%1st Place
-
2.21Western Washington University2.150.4%1st Place
-
3.61University of Washington0.870.1%1st Place
-
2.78Western Washington University1.620.2%1st Place
-
3.96University of Puget Sound0.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Balter | 29.2% | 26.8% | 22.8% | 13.7% | 7.5% |
| Patrick Taylor | 35.2% | 27.2% | 22.3% | 11.9% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Stewart | 9.7% | 11.4% | 18.9% | 28.2% | 31.8% |
| Ashley Vincent | 19.4% | 24.9% | 24.1% | 21.4% | 10.2% |
| John Elam | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 24.8% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.