← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+5.00vs Predicted
-
2University of California at San Diego0.50+7.68vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.11+8.53vs Predicted
-
4San Diego State University0.17+6.95vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+0.42vs Predicted
-
6University of Southern California0.64+2.71vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.79+0.98vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.71+0.24vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University0.32+1.12vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-0.07+2.15vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-2.45vs Predicted
-
12California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-4.35vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.54vs Predicted
-
14Arizona State University-1.24+4.08vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University-0.75+0.68vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-0.68-0.58vs Predicted
-
17Arizona State University-0.90-0.66vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-6.19vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54+0.25vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego-0.97-3.72vs Predicted
-
21San Diego State University-1.930.00vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-1.71-2.11vs Predicted
-
23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-2.92vs Predicted
-
24University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-5.42vs Predicted
-
25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-5.98vs Predicted
-
26University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.0University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
-
9.68University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
-
11.53University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
-
10.95San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
-
5.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
-
8.71University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
-
7.98University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
-
8.24University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
-
10.12Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
-
12.15University of California at San Diego-0.070.0%1st Place
-
8.55University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
-
7.65California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
-
9.46University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
-
18.08Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
-
15.68Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
15.42University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
-
16.34Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
11.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
-
19.25University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
-
16.28University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
-
21.0San Diego State University-1.930.0%1st Place
-
19.89University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
-
20.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
-
18.58University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
-
19.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
-
23.14University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 14.5% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 7.2% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 5.6% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Cody Van Ness | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 16.9% | 14.0% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.6% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 9.5% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 42.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.