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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+6.48vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+3.67vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.32+7.45vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.17+6.96vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.50+4.26vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+2.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.79+0.99vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.20vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.64-0.45vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.11+1.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.07+1.02vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.71-3.43vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-0.90+3.35vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.97+2.77vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.68+0.36vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-6.47vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.75-1.37vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-6.16vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-0.11vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.24-2.41vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54-1.57vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74-2.05vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-0.03vs Predicted
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24San Diego State University-1.93-3.43vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-5.99vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-1.71-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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10.45Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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10.96San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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9.26University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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8.68University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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8.55University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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11.35University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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12.02University of California at San Diego-0.070.0%1st Place
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8.57University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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16.35Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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16.77University of California at San Diego-0.970.0%1st Place
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15.36University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.53University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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15.63Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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11.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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18.89University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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17.59Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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19.43University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
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19.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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22.97University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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20.57San Diego State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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19.01Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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20.32University of California at San Diego-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Downey | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 12.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 12.8% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vivin Vinil | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Keller | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| George Soliman | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Gavin Hirz | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Connor Fagan | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 6.7% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 38.0% |
| Cody Van Ness | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 14.2% |
| Nathan Briar | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Ian Johnston | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.