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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.82vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles0.11+9.03vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University-0.90+12.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.50+5.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+0.25vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+3.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.71+1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.64+0.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.46+9.03vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.79-2.23vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.24+6.11vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University0.17-1.25vs Predicted
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13California Poly Maritime Academy0.93-5.78vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.07+2.59vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-6.57vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54+2.67vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+2.37vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00-6.66vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-0.68-4.32vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.93-0.14vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-2.58+1.46vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.32-0.58vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-4.73vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University0.32-14.43vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-0.75-9.86vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-2.36-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
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15.84Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.02University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
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5.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
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9.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
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18.03University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
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7.77University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
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17.11Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
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10.75San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
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7.22California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
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16.59University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
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8.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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18.67University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
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19.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
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11.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
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14.68University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
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19.86San Diego State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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22.46University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
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21.42University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
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18.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.57Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
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15.14Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
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22.02University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 4.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Noah Barton | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 14.4% | 14.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Colin Olson | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Cody Van Ness | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 19.5% | 29.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 20.3% |
| Nathan Briar | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Grace Richie | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.