← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.80vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.42+3.52vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.71+5.22vs Predicted
-
4San Diego State University0.17+6.51vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego0.79+2.64vs Predicted
-
6California Poly Maritime Academy0.93+1.18vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California0.64+1.35vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego0.50+0.79vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-1.07+7.33vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+1.38vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles0.11-0.32vs Predicted
-
12Arizona State University-1.24+5.44vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-3.80vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-0.68+0.76vs Predicted
-
15Arizona State University0.32-5.10vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.54+2.68vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Santa Cruz0.65-8.64vs Predicted
-
18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.74+1.35vs Predicted
-
19Arizona State University-0.90-3.35vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Los Angeles-2.58+2.13vs Predicted
-
21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46-2.60vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Los Angeles-1.46-3.81vs Predicted
-
23Arizona State University-0.75-8.12vs Predicted
-
24San Diego State University-1.93-4.07vs Predicted
-
25University of California at San Diego-2.32-3.30vs Predicted
-
26University of California at San Diego-2.36-3.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.8University of California at Los Angeles1.300.1%1st Place
-
5.52University of California at Santa Barbara1.420.1%1st Place
-
8.22University of California at Berkeley0.710.1%1st Place
-
10.51San Diego State University0.170.0%1st Place
-
7.64University of California at San Diego0.790.1%1st Place
-
7.18California Poly Maritime Academy0.930.1%1st Place
-
8.35University of Southern California0.640.1%1st Place
-
8.79University of California at San Diego0.500.1%1st Place
-
16.33University of California at San Diego-1.070.0%1st Place
-
11.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.0%1st Place
-
10.68University of California at Los Angeles0.110.0%1st Place
-
17.44Arizona State University-1.240.0%1st Place
-
9.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.0%1st Place
-
14.76University of California at San Diego-0.680.0%1st Place
-
9.9Arizona State University0.320.0%1st Place
-
18.68University of California at Santa Cruz-1.540.0%1st Place
-
8.36University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
-
19.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.740.0%1st Place
-
15.65Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
-
22.13University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
-
18.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
-
18.19University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
-
14.88Arizona State University-0.750.0%1st Place
-
19.93San Diego State University-1.930.0%1st Place
-
21.7University of California at San Diego-2.320.0%1st Place
-
22.03University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 12.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted McDonough | 13.4% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Ingebritson | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Reuter | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Downey | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 7.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Lipps | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Groom | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zack Taylor | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| George Soliman | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Franck | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Matt Grimsley | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Colin Olson | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Romeo | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 17.4% | 27.7% |
| Nathan Briar | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Cody Van Ness | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% |
| Michael Nodini | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 16.8% | 20.0% |
| Grace Richie | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.