← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+5.36vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California-0.10+6.70vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+5.46vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego-0.58+6.48vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12+3.45vs Predicted
-
6Arizona State University0.59+0.02vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara1.19-2.77vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+10.46vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-1.14+3.94vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Los Angeles1.70-6.83vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-0.47vs Predicted
-
12San Diego State University-1.85+4.67vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-6.79vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-2.02+3.37vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+0.42vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Cruz-1.66-0.36vs Predicted
-
17San Diego State University-2.34+1.66vs Predicted
-
18University of California at San Diego-2.68+2.08vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-3.06vs Predicted
-
20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-2.50vs Predicted
-
21Arizona State University-1.81-4.61vs Predicted
-
22Arizona State University-1.53-7.07vs Predicted
-
23Arizona State University-2.97-1.76vs Predicted
-
24University of California at San Diego-1.65-8.77vs Predicted
-
25University of California at San Diego-2.60-5.11vs Predicted
-
26University of California at San Diego-3.10-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.36California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.1%1st Place
-
8.7University of Southern California-0.100.0%1st Place
-
8.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
-
10.48University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
-
8.45University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.0%1st Place
-
6.02Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
-
4.23University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.2%1st Place
-
18.46Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
12.94University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
-
3.17University of California at Los Angeles1.700.3%1st Place
-
10.53University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
-
16.67San Diego State University-1.850.0%1st Place
-
6.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
-
17.37University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
-
15.42University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
-
15.64University of California at Santa Cruz-1.660.0%1st Place
-
18.66San Diego State University-2.340.0%1st Place
-
20.08University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
-
15.94University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
-
17.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
-
16.39Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
-
14.93Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
21.24Arizona State University-2.970.0%1st Place
-
15.23University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
-
19.89University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
-
22.04University of California at San Diego-3.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Summer Drake | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jasper Reid | 17.8% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| Victoria Chen | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Grant Janov | 26.1% | 22.7% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adeline Spencer | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Blake Roberts | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| samson grunwald | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Farago | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% |
| Liam Williams | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| William Bailly | 0.3% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Sean Kenealy | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 17.4% | 19.6% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Maria Guinness | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.4% |
| Alexander Warnery | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.