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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.19+3.30vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-0.10+6.69vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.50+3.41vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06+4.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.58+5.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.70-3.91vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-0.61+2.40vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.59-3.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-1.62+5.36vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-1.66+4.37vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.12-3.31vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-1.53+1.98vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.68+6.27vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-3.10+6.69vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley-1.14-2.82vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-0.96vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.65-2.49vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34-0.29vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-2.34-1.55vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.13-3.11vs Predicted
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22San Diego State University-1.85-5.54vs Predicted
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23University of California at San Diego-2.02-5.83vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-1.81-7.99vs Predicted
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25Arizona State University-2.97-3.64vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-2.60-5.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.190.2%1st Place
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8.69University of Southern California-0.100.1%1st Place
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6.41California Poly Maritime Academy0.500.1%1st Place
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8.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.3University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
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6.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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3.09University of California at Los Angeles1.700.3%1st Place
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10.4University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
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5.92Arizona State University0.590.1%1st Place
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15.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.620.0%1st Place
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15.37University of California at Santa Cruz-1.660.0%1st Place
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8.69University of California at Santa Cruz-0.120.0%1st Place
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14.98Arizona State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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20.27University of California at San Diego-2.680.0%1st Place
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21.69University of California at San Diego-3.100.0%1st Place
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13.18University of California at Berkeley-1.140.0%1st Place
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16.04University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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15.51University of California at San Diego-1.650.0%1st Place
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18.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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18.45San Diego State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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17.89Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.130.0%1st Place
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16.46San Diego State University-1.850.0%1st Place
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17.17University of California at San Diego-2.020.0%1st Place
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16.01Arizona State University-1.810.0%1st Place
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21.36Arizona State University-2.970.0%1st Place
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20.18University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasper Reid | 16.2% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edward Ansart | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kawika Tumilowicz | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 6.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grant Janov | 28.5% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boylan | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| samson grunwald | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Farago | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Summer Drake | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Kenealy | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Weil | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 13.0% |
| Alexander Warnery | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 27.3% |
| Victoria Chen | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Liam Williams | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Jaime Vargas-Zuniga Areilza | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
| Riley Benjaminson | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Walden Hillegass | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Adeline Spencer | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Jonathan Hickey | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| William Bailly | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Hayden shaw | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 16.6% | 21.4% |
| Maria Guinness | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 12.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.